In July 2025 the government replaced the 50 GW 2040 target with a range of 30 to 40 GW; the 2026 coalition agreement aims for the top of that range. Birdview Energy works with 35 GW in 2040 as the realistic figure and a near-term 21 GW by 2035. The operational, awarded and tendered pipeline lands at roughly 23 GW. The areas designated in March 2026 and the new roadmap, due end of 2026, decide how much of the rest gets built.
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